Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tigres de Álica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+515%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
7º
10º
10º
9
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
4 | 24 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 23 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 22 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 21 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 18 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 17 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 17 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
9 | 14 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 12 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 11 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 9 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 1% |
|
Play-offs
|
18.5% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
CSI
3 - 0
MIN
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 0
CSI
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
MIN
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 0
COR
33%
24%
44%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CSI
2 - 0
MIN
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tigres de Álica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TDA
1 - 0
MFC
11%
16%
74%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | 0 |