Mineros de Fresnillo vs Mexicali FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
8º
14º
14º
29
6º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
58 | 75 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 49 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 49 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
74.5% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 1
MIN
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
3 - 0
MIN
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 0
TRI
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
MIN
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
MIN
2 - 3
EST
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 3
LEO
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 0
MFC
74%
16%
9%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
COL
14%
17%
69%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +3 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
MFC
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 2
COR
15%
19%
66%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |