Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
9º
8º
25
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
4 - 2
MIN
10%
14%
75%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 0
LEO
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 1
LCU
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSI
2 - 1
MIN
45%
24%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
4 - 0
HDZ
51%
23%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
ZAC
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NAY
3 - 2
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
EST
3 - 1
TRI
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
EST
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 3
EST
13%
17%
70%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |