Mineros de Fresnillo vs Agricultores Guasave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+693%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
7º
12º
9º
3
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
3 | 23 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 23 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
2 | 22 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 21 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 21 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 18 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 14 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 12 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
11º
|
0 | 11 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 11 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 11 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
3 | 11 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
16.5% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 1
MIN
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 1
TDA
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
CSI
3 - 0
MIN
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 0
CSI
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
MIN
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Agricultores Guasave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ADG
0 - 0
MFC
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ADG
2 - 0
LEO
10%
15%
74%
|
7 | 41 | 34 | +8 |