Mindil Aces vs Avondale Heights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
78.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.8%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mindil Aces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
MIA
1 - 4
UAF
50%
21%
29%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
MIA
1 - 4
PRF
54%
20%
26%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
MIA
42%
22%
37%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
MIA
4 - 0
LFC
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
MIA
22%
20%
57%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Avondale Heights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 1
AVH
10%
15%
76%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
AVH
1 - 4
OAK
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
AVH
0 - 1
DAN
69%
17%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
AVH
5 - 1
ELS
90%
8%
3%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
AVH
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |