Minas vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
73.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.3%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 0
MIN
54%
24%
23%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 0
URT
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
DEM
2 - 2
MIN
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MIN
2 - 1
DEM
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +3 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
URT
2 - 1
MIN
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 3
ATM
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
RCA
3 - 1
ATM
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 2
VIT
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 2
ATM
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ATM
4 - 1
GOI
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |