Bavarian United vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavarian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
MIB
1 - 3
DES
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2009 |
MIB
1 - 3
CFS
19%
23%
59%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2007 |
CAR
4 - 0
MIB
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2007 |
MIB
1 - 0
CRI
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
POR
2 - 1
MIB
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
FMA
3 - 1
TOR
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FMA
0 - 0
GTR
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ORL
1 - 2
FMA
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 0
FMA
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CRW
1 - 0
FMA
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |