FA Cup 1/128
Global 3-4
Milton Keynes Dons vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 4
MKD
36%
25%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
MKD
2 - 4
AVI
78%
14%
9%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MKD
0 - 3
ROT
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
WIG
1 - 2
MKD
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
STF
1 - 0
MKD
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
STE
54%
27%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
STE
0 - 0
LEY
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
NOR
3 - 0
STE
49%
28%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
OLD
3 - 0
STE
43%
28%
30%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
STE
2 - 2
EXE
31%
27%
43%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |