Milton Keynes Dons vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 0
MKD
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
REA
3 - 2
MKD
53%
22%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MKD
3 - 2
SWI
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
MKD
4 - 1
BRA
41%
27%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
STA
1 - 0
MKD
42%
26%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 0
BUR
33%
27%
41%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 3
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
DER
4 - 0
NOR
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BRO
2 - 1
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 2
LEY
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |