Milton Keynes Dons vs Nantwich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MKD
3 - 1
ROC
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 2
MKD
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 1
MKD
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MKD
0 - 0
SCU
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MKD
2 - 2
BOU
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nantwich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ASH
1 - 1
NAN
36%
24%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
NAN
3 - 2
NOR
29%
25%
47%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
KEN
1 - 0
NAN
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
NAN
2 - 1
MAT
37%
24%
38%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WOR
3 - 0
NAN
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |