Milton Keynes Dons vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
OXF
1 - 0
MKD
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MKD
2 - 3
SHW
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
MKD
14%
22%
64%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
MKD
2 - 1
CRE
74%
18%
8%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MKD
2 - 0
STF
59%
25%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
OPA
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 3
MOR
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
MOR
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 1
OXF
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 0
BUR
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |