Milton Keynes Dons vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
BRI
4 - 1
MKD
68%
20%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
BRI
2 - 1
MKD
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
MKD
1 - 1
WAL
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
HUR
3 - 1
MKD
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
HUL
3 - 2
MKD
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2004 |
WOR
2 - 0
LAN
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
ALF
2 - 3
LAN
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
LAN
3 - 1
MOO
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
RED
0 - 0
LAN
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 1
ALT
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |