Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
MKD
4 - 0
MUD
6%
14%
80%
|
61 | 92 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MKD
0 - 0
COV
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 1
MKD
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
POS
3 - 2
MKD
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
MKD
3 - 1
AFC
67%
20%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 1
CRA
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SHE
1 - 0
CRA
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 3
BRA
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 0
SWI
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 0
IPS
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |