Milton Keynes Dons vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2008 |
MKD
0 - 1
SWA
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 2
MKD
25%
26%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2008 |
SWA
0 - 1
MKD
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
STF
3 - 3
MKD
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
MKD
1 - 1
ROT
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 3
CHE
62%
22%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 1
NOT
40%
28%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
DAG
6 - 2
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 3
STA
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHE
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |