Milton Keynes Dons vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MKD
1 - 0
STE
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 4
MKD
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MKD
6 - 2
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
YEO
0 - 1
MKD
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
EXE
0 - 2
MKD
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 2
TRA
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
5 - 0
LEY
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 2
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 0
BRE
58%
23%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
BRE
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |