Milton Keynes Dons vs Arsenal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MKD
1 - 1
TRA
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
TOW
1 - 5
MKD
45%
25%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 1
MKD
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MKD
1 - 1
DON
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
MKD
30%
23%
47%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 5
TOT
56%
21%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 3
LIV
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
STC
0 - 1
ARS
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
LEY
1 - 2
ARS
44%
22%
33%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
4 - 1
AVI
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |