Milsami Orhei vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
6º
4º
12
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 7 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milsami Orhei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PET
2 - 1
MIL
58%
24%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MIL
0 - 3
PET
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
MIL
3 - 0
SAM
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 2
SHF
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
ZIM
1 - 1
MIL
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ZIM
0 - 0
FCS
31%
26%
44%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 0
ZIM
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
0 - 1
ZIM
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
ZIM
1 - 1
MIL
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCD
0 - 0
ZIM
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |