Millwall vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 1
SOU
19%
23%
58%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 1
COL
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 2
MIL
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
NTT
2 - 1
MIL
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
REA
1 - 2
MIL
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 1
BRE
19%
22%
59%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
WYC
3 - 2
WAT
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
HIB
2 - 3
WAT
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GIL
2 - 0
WAT
16%
23%
62%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
STE
2 - 2
WAT
30%
26%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |