Millwall vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
MIL
0 - 0
REA
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
NTT
1 - 1
MIL
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
MIL
3 - 1
COV
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
MID
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LEE
3 - 1
MIL
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
BRI
0 - 2
WAT
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
WAT
2 - 2
DON
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
WAT
0 - 1
LEE
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 2
NOT
57%
22%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HUL
0 - 0
WAT
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |