Millwall vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
BRA
0 - 1
MIL
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
MIL
3 - 0
SHW
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
MIL
0 - 2
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
WIM
2 - 0
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
WAL
1 - 2
MIL
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2003 |
STO
2 - 0
ROT
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
STO
0 - 0
GIL
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
WAT
1 - 2
STO
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
WOL
0 - 0
STO
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
STO
0 - 0
SHE
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |