FA Cup 1/64
Global 5-1
Millwall vs Staines Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
HAR
3 - 0
MIL
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
MIL
3 - 2
MKD
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
STA
1 - 1
MIL
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
EXE
1 - 1
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 2
WYC
68%
21%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Staines Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
STA
0 - 1
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
STA
0 - 0
DOV
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
STA
1 - 1
MIL
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
STA
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
WEL
3 - 0
STA
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |