League One Playoff Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Millwall vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
BRO
3 - 4
MIL
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MIL
0 - 3
OXF
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
FLE
1 - 0
MIL
33%
26%
40%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
MIL
3 - 0
NOR
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GIL
1 - 1
MIL
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SCU
3 - 1
COV
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 2
SCU
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
SCU
3 - 1
CHE
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
MKD
0 - 1
SCU
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SCU
1 - 0
BOL
35%
27%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |