Millwall vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2002 |
WAT
1 - 4
MIL
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
MIL
2 - 0
CRE
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
MIL
3 - 0
CRY
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
BUR
0 - 0
MIL
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2001 |
MIL
1 - 0
OPA
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
LIN
3 - 2
SCU
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
SCU
2 - 1
PLY
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
SCU
2 - 1
HUL
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
SCU
3 - 2
BRE
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
CUM
3 - 0
SCU
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |