Millwall vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MID
0 - 1
MIL
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 2
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
MIL
2 - 2
CHA
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 3
MIL
15%
23%
62%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
GIL
0 - 2
MIL
18%
24%
59%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
POS
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
REA
0 - 4
SWA
30%
24%
47%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
REA
0 - 2
QPR
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
REA
2 - 4
SOU
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 0
REA
19%
22%
59%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |