Millwall vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
STO
1 - 0
MIL
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
PNE
3 - 2
MIL
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MIL
2 - 2
HUL
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 1
MIL
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
MIL
0 - 2
BIR
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
REA
0 - 1
MID
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 1
REA
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
REA
0 - 2
SHE
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
REA
2 - 2
STO
15%
25%
60%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
LEE
1 - 0
REA
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |