Millwall vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
BHA
1 - 0
MIL
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
MIL
0 - 2
REA
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
PNE
2 - 1
MIL
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
MIL
1 - 2
SOU
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
MIL
1 - 0
SHE
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
OPA
1 - 0
GIL
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2003 |
LEI
1 - 1
OPA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
OPA
6 - 2
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
OPA
3 - 0
GRI
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
BHA
1 - 1
OPA
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |