Millwall vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2008 |
HUR
1 - 0
MIL
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
TRA
2 - 0
MIL
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
MIL
2 - 1
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
NTT
2 - 0
MIL
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
MIL
0 - 3
DON
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
POR
0 - 2
SWA
17%
23%
61%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
HAR
3 - 2
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
POR
1 - 1
CUM
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
BRO
3 - 2
POR
65%
22%
14%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
POR
2 - 2
YEO
33%
26%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |