Millwall vs Peterborough United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 2
CHE
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SCU
0 - 0
MIL
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 3
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 4
COV
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 2
BAR
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
POS
1 - 1
GIL
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
POS
1 - 4
CHA
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 1
POS
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
POS
1 - 3
SHE
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
POS
2 - 1
COL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |