Millwall vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
MIL
2 - 0
WIG
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
MIL
2 - 0
COV
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
NTT
3 - 3
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
MIL
3 - 2
CRY
43%
25%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
WOL
3 - 0
MIL
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 0
OXF
85%
11%
3%
|
59 | 92 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
OXF
1 - 0
SWI
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
DOV
0 - 1
OXF
26%
24%
49%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
OXF
0 - 3
ASV
25%
29%
46%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 0
OXF
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |