Millwall vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 1
SHE
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
POS
5 - 1
MIL
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MKD
2 - 2
MIL
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 4
MIL
24%
23%
53%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MIL
3 - 0
OLD
68%
21%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NTT
4 - 3
WIG
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 0
NTT
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
BHA
3 - 0
NTT
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
DON
1 - 2
NTT
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
NTT
4 - 3
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |