Millwall vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
MIL
2 - 0
OLD
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
MIL
1 - 0
LUT
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
FUL
0 - 1
MIL
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1978 |
MIL
3 - 1
SUN
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
MIL
2 - 0
BPO
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
MAN
1 - 1
LEY
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1978 |
MAN
3 - 0
BRO
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
BPO
1 - 2
MAN
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
MAN
2 - 2
BBU
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
OLD
0 - 1
MAN
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |