Millwall vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MIL
3 - 0
SHW
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 1
LEY
58%
23%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HUL
0 - 0
MIL
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
4 - 3
MIL
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
OPA
0 - 1
MIL
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LUT
1 - 2
QPR
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
QPR
1 - 1
LUT
28%
24%
48%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PNE
1 - 0
LUT
28%
26%
47%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OPA
0 - 0
LUT
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
LUT
1 - 4
BUR
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |