Millwall vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 1
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 0
NOR
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
MIL
2 - 0
QPR
54%
25%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
STO
0 - 0
MIL
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
HUR
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
LEI
4 - 1
HUR
72%
18%
11%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
LEI
12%
20%
67%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
IPS
1 - 1
LEI
25%
23%
52%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
LEI
3 - 0
ROT
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
BIR
2 - 3
LEI
11%
20%
69%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |