Millwall vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
MIL
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 1
BPO
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 5
DER
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BHA
1 - 1
MIL
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
NTT
2 - 1
MIL
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 0
LEE
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LEE
1 - 2
BUR
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
REA
1 - 0
LEE
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BOL
0 - 1
LEE
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LEE
0 - 1
QPR
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |