League One Playoff Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Millwall vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
CUM
2 - 0
MIL
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MIL
2 - 1
LEY
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BRO
4 - 2
MIL
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
MIL
2 - 0
POS
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
YEO
2 - 0
MIL
27%
28%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
LEE
3 - 0
NOR
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 1
LEE
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LEE
3 - 1
TRA
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
LEI
1 - 0
LEE
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
LEE
1 - 0
STO
64%
21%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |