EFL Cup 1/32
Global 2-5
Millwall vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
MIL
27%
27%
47%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
MIL
0 - 1
NOR
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
MIL
1 - 0
SWA
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
MIL
1 - 1
BHA
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
MIL
1 - 2
WYC
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
LEE
1 - 2
IPS
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
IPS
1 - 2
ASV
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
LEI
2 - 1
IPS
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
IPS
1 - 0
SUN
30%
26%
45%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
IPS
1 - 1
MUD
14%
21%
65%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | +1 |