Millwall vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 4
MIL
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
MIL
0 - 1
SCU
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 0
MIL
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2006 |
MIL
1 - 0
BRA
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
MIL
2 - 0
BRA
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
GIL
0 - 3
OLD
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
GIL
2 - 1
LEY
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
TRA
2 - 3
GIL
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
GIL
1 - 1
BOU
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
YEO
2 - 0
GIL
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |