Millwall vs Fylde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 0
BRA
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 0
DON
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SHE
1 - 2
MIL
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
BPO
1 - 1
MIL
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 0
SWI
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FYL
5 - 0
STA
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FYL
1 - 0
BAR
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 8 | 45 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
COR
1 - 2
FYL
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FYL
9 - 0
COL
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FYL
1 - 0
AFC
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |