FA Cup 1/32
Global 5-4
Millwall vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
MIL
1 - 1
YEO
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
POS
1 - 0
MIL
57%
23%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MIL
0 - 0
CRE
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
WAL
1 - 2
MIL
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
MIL
3 - 2
BRO
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
HAR
1 - 4
CRE
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
CRE
0 - 3
OLD
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MIL
0 - 0
CRE
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CRE
1 - 0
SWI
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 0
CRE
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |