Millwall vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
BUR
2 - 1
MIL
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
PLY
0 - 0
MIL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
MAN
2 - 3
MIL
28%
25%
46%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
MIL
0 - 2
SOU
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
MIL
0 - 4
SHE
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
CRE
1 - 0
LEE
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
CRE
2 - 2
CRY
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
CAR
6 - 1
CRE
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
STO
2 - 0
CRE
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
CRE
3 - 1
LUT
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +2 |