Millwall vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
REA
2 - 1
MIL
48%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
LEI
3 - 1
MIL
55%
26%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
MIL
3 - 0
PLY
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
MIL
1 - 1
COV
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
WIG
2 - 0
MIL
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
CRE
1 - 2
DER
42%
25%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
CRE
1 - 1
NTT
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 1
CRE
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
WHU
1 - 1
CRE
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
CRE
0 - 1
SUN
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |