Millwall vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
NTT
3 - 3
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
MIL
3 - 2
CRY
43%
25%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
WOL
3 - 0
MIL
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
DER
1 - 2
MIL
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
MIL
3 - 1
STO
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
COV
0 - 0
GIL
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
COV
0 - 1
STO
49%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
DER
1 - 0
COV
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
WAL
0 - 0
COV
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
COV
2 - 4
IPS
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |