FA Cup 1/16
Global 1-1
Millwall vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
QPR
1 - 0
MIL
79%
14%
8%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
ARS
0 - 2
MIL
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
SHE
1 - 1
MIL
63%
22%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
SWI
3 - 1
MIL
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
MIL
0 - 0
ARS
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
CHL
1 - 1
SHW
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
CHL
3 - 0
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
CHL
1 - 1
WIM
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1994 |
ASV
3 - 0
CHL
45%
28%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1994 |
CHL
2 - 3
MUD
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |