Millwall vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
MIL
0 - 2
LEE
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
HAR
0 - 1
MIL
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MIL
1 - 1
GIL
47%
26%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BOU
2 - 0
MIL
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
MIL
0 - 0
LUT
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CUM
1 - 2
SOU
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LEE
3 - 2
CUM
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
CUM
0 - 0
SWA
37%
26%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CUM
2 - 1
YEO
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
CUM
0 - 2
NTT
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |