EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-2
Millwall vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
13%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
MIL
1 - 2
WYC
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
BHA
1 - 2
MIL
38%
25%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
NOT
3 - 4
MIL
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
MIL
2 - 0
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
MIL
1 - 0
OXF
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
BHA
6 - 2
GUL
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
BHA
0 - 2
KID
58%
22%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
LIN
2 - 0
BHA
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
BHA
1 - 2
MIL
38%
25%
36%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
BHA
2 - 1
ROC
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |