Millwall vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
38.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
MIL
0 - 1
NOR
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
MIL
0 - 4
SOU
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
CRE
1 - 0
MIL
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
GIL
2 - 1
MIL
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
MIL
0 - 1
BHA
51%
28%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
CHE
3 - 1
BRE
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 3
LUT
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 0
BOU
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 2
SWA
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
LEY
1 - 1
BRE
34%
27%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |