Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 3
MIL
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 1
GIL
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
WAL
2 - 1
MIL
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
MIL
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 3
ROC
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BOL
2 - 0
OLD
52%
27%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SWI
0 - 1
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
BOL
1 - 0
BPO
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BOL
0 - 2
OXF
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |