Millwall vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
MIL
2 - 1
SCU
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2002 |
WAT
1 - 4
MIL
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
MIL
2 - 0
CRE
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
MIL
3 - 0
CRY
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
BUR
0 - 0
MIL
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
LIV
3 - 0
BIR
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2002 |
BIR
1 - 1
NTT
57%
24%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
STO
0 - 3
BIR
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
SHW
0 - 1
BIR
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
BIR
1 - 0
WAL
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |