EFL Cup 1/64
Global 1-3
Millwall vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
52.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
MIL
2 - 1
WYC
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
BIR
2 - 0
MIL
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
WIG
0 - 1
MIL
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1998 |
WIG
0 - 0
MIL
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
WYC
0 - 0
MIL
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
BIR
3 - 1
CRY
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
BIR
2 - 0
MIL
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
POR
0 - 2
BIR
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
BIR
0 - 0
CHA
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
OXF
0 - 2
BIR
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |