Millwall vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 1
MIL
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 0
QPR
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
MIL
2 - 2
WOL
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
DER
3 - 0
MIL
56%
24%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
MIL
2 - 1
MID
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
SUN
0 - 1
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
REA
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
PNE
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
FUL
2 - 1
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
BRE
0 - 0
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |